Austin Butler - Elvis
Diego Calva - Babylon
Timothée Chalamet - Bones & All
Tom Cruise - Top Gun: Maverick
Ricardo Darin - Argentina, 1985
Adam Driver - White Noise
Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser - The Whale
Daniel Gimenez Cacho - Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Tom Hanks - A Man Called Otto
Hugh Jackman - The Son
Gabriel LaBelle - The Fabelmans
Paul Mescal - Aftersun
Bill Nighy - Living
Jeremy Pope - The Inspection
Will Smith - Emancipation
Song Kang-ho - Broker
Other (Write-in your prediction)
Yeah, I think it’s possible Banshees plays better with the BAFTAs than The Whale (it’ll probably appeal to their sensibilities more overall and it helps that the latter has inferior reviews), but I don’t get this almost expectation that SAG and BAFTA will split, with Farrell winning the latter. Kinda just seems like because Farrell is Irish, people figure he’ll win there. Perhaps it’s unpopular, but I think SAG and BAFTA will have the same winner in Actor. I’d bet on BAFTAs leaning lowbrow/American like they did last year.
Brendan Fraser - The Whale (Winner)
Austin Butler - Elvis
Park Hae-il - Decision to Leave
Tom Hanks - A Man Called Otto
Will Smith - Emancipation
Bill Nighy - Living
Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
Not even devil himself can help Park Hae-il.![]()
@Nora killing it with their gif game as always![]()
Supporting Legend Mara since 2009
Supporting King Chalamét since 2017
Supporting Queen Russell since 2019
In a fair world, Mescal would be locked in but I honestly can’t see it after watching the movie
The character and his performance is too far out of an Oscar nomination performance. Unless critics and Trifecta go hard on him Antonio Banderas in Pain and Glory style, I don’t see it.
Anyway, this is a great addition to establish himself as one of the most interesting young actors working today after the Normal People breakthrough and hopefully he’ll get some critic mentions/wins
Also Charlotte Wells needs to come for these First Film awards.
Last edited by Nora; 11-11-2022 at 12:00 PM.
On the latest Indiewire podcast, Anne Thompson recently added Mescal to her predictions. She thinks momentum is building for him, but that his biggest hurdle will be the film being seen. And Eric Kohn said that he recently attended an A24 dinner last week in NY that was attended by Charlotte Wells and other critics and he came away thinking that the film will possibly do well with NYFCC.Hold the line!
I think any slim chance that he has hinges on what the trifecta does.
1. Brendan Fraser, The Whale
2. Austin Butler, Elvis
3. Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
4. Will Smith, Emancipation
5. Bill Nighy, Living
Alts: 6.Cruise 7.Calva 8.Mescal 9.LaBelle & 10.Driver
LaBelle is very sweet and present in the film, but I'm not seeing it. Mescal needs trifecta for exposure, but I think he'll get it, and be the main beneficiary of a preferential ballot. Hanks' buzz is too mute.
November Best Actor Predictions
1. Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
2. Austin Butler - Elvis
3. Brendan Fraser - The Whale
4. Bill Nighy - Living
5. Hugh Jackman - The Son