Ang Lee was snubbed and then went on to win two.
Edward Berger - All Quiet on the Western Front
James Cameron - Avatar: The Way of Water
Damien Chazelle - Babylon
Chinonye Chukwu - Till
Ryan Coogler - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
The Daniels - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Alice Diop - Saint Omer
Audrey Diwan - Happening
Todd Field - Tár
Marc Foster - A Man Called Otto
Luca Guadagnino - Bones & All
Oliver Hermanus - Living
Alejandro G. Inarritu - Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Rian Johnson - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Joseph Kosinski - Top Gun: Maverick
Baz Luhrmann - Elvis
Martin McDonagh - The Banshee of Inisherin
Santiago Mitre - Argentina, 1985
Ruben Östlund - Triangle of Sadness
Park Chan-wook - Decision to Leave
Sarah Polley - Women Talking
S. S. Rajamouli - RRR
Maria Schrader - She Said
Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans
Other (Write-in your predictions)
Ang Lee was snubbed and then went on to win two.
the precision of the camerawork, framing and editing of Decision to Leave is unreal, it's immaculate. PCW really should be in contention for this even if he isn't
Damien Chazelle
The Daniels
Todd Field
Ruben Östlund
Steven Spielberg
James Cameron
Park Chan-wook
Alejandro G. Inarritu
Martin McDonagh
Sarah Polley
October II
Martin McDonagh, “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Steven Spielberg, “The Fabelmans”
Todd Field, “TAR”
Ruben Östlund, “Triangle of Sadness”
Sarah Polley, “Women Talking”
alt. James Cameron, “Avatar: The Way of Water”
alt. Alejandro G. Inarritu, “Bardo”
alt. Damien Chazelle, "Babylon"
alt. The Daniels, "Everything Everywhere All At Once"
1. Spielberg
2. McDonagh
3. Field
4. Chazelle
5. Östlund
6. The Daniels
7. Polley
Anyone else would really surprise me, at this point.
1. Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
2. Damien Chazelle, Babylon
3. Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
4. Todd Field, Tar
5. Sarah Polley, Women Talking
6. Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave
7. Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All At Once
8. James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water
9. Ruben Ostlund, Triangle of Sadness
10. Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu, Bardo
i feel confident in the top 4, but any of those 6-10 could make that 5th spot, i think. with Polley, it's a stylishly and expansively made film given the relative small-scale of it but the visual choices have already been, and will continue to be, very divisive. Decision to Leave is well-directed in an incredibly flashy and obvious way but the film itself might be a little distancing for some; then again the directors branch highbrows might appreciate that anyway. i don't think the director's branch highbrows will go for EEAAO, on the other hand. and Cameron, you kinda can't count him out imo, if that movie is good then it'll be because it's a big, loud, flashy directorial achievement.
regarding the other conversation here, Banshees is a much more visually ambitious and tonally expansive film than anything McDonagh's done before, inc. Three Billboards, and as such stands a better chance here than that film did.
The Daniels will probably miss and be snubbed, and I'll be sad.
I disliked the film but I cannot deny what they pulled off was directorial slam dunk.
Supporting Legend Mara since 2009
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I don’t see the Daniels missing.
Strong early releases almost always get directing nomination, c'mon. It must be too strong competition for the Daniels not to be nominated.
"Мама Беларусь" (2019)
КВН Дети Тьюринга - "Мама Беларусь" (2020)
Тра-та-та! Тра-та-та!!
К вам влетела красота!
Не чижик, не собака!
Не самка вурдалака!
Не свинья, не анаконда,
АААааааааааа носитель генофонда!
КВН Камызяки - 2019 Встреча выпускников Музыкалка
DEAD BLONDE – Мальчик на девятке
this branch will rightfully and gleefully snub the Daniels
I'm predicting the Daniels 'cause EEAAO is such, SUCH a directorial showcase, but after Dune missing, I have accepted this branch can be random in their snubs
1. Spielberg
2. Polley
3. Chazelle
4. Field
5. Daniels
If they are snubbed, I think it'll be in favor of an established name that blindsides everyone, like Ińarritu (if the industry is indeed warmer to Bardo than everyone else). And there's also Cameron, who shall never be doubted.
We should be getting in our skulls by now that we will have an international director in the five. Now, will it be Park Chan-Wook, Ruben Ostlund, or Innaritu?
Can't shake this weird feeling that Babylon will be extremely divisive and a commercial flop (and I'm not just talking about the Brad Pitt controversy). Call it a gut instinct.
1. The Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
2. Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)
3. Todd Field (Tár)
4. Park Chan-wook (Decision to Leave)
5. James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water)
Sarah Polley (Women Talking)
Damien Chazelle (Babylon)
Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Todd Field, TÁR
Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave
Sarah Polley, Women Talking
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
Damien Chazelle - Babylon (Paramount)
Dan Kwan & Daniel Scheinert - Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans (Universal)
Todd Field - TÁR (Focus Features)
Ruben Östlund - Triangle of Sadness(NEON)
Oh, Östlund makes perfect sense for the "foreign" slot (although I'd not be surprised if he got in anyway, and that the actual foreign slot went to Ińárritu, who we can never count out, especially if the talk about the new Bardo cut are to be believed).
- - - Reviews, Ruminations and Ramblings - - -
(All my reviews going back to 2012 can be found here)
Park Chan-wook - Decision to Leave (Winner)
Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans
Sarah Polley - Women Talking
Todd Field - Tár
Ryan Coogler - Panther: Wakanda Forever
James Cameron - Avatar 2
Damien Chazelle - Babylon
Ruben Östlund - Triangle of Sadness
Martin McDonagh - The Banshee of Inisherin