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View Poll Results: Choose the 5 potential nominees

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  • Austin Butler - Elvis

    139 91.45%
  • Diego Calva - Babylon

    41 26.97%
  • Timothée Chalamet - Bones & All

    4 2.63%
  • Tom Cruise - Top Gun: Maverick

    38 25.00%
  • Ricardo Darin - Argentina, 1985

    7 4.61%
  • Adam Driver - White Noise

    9 5.92%
  • Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin

    148 97.37%
  • Brendan Fraser - The Whale

    146 96.05%
  • Daniel Gimenez Cacho - Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths

    5 3.29%
  • Tom Hanks - A Man Called Otto

    8 5.26%
  • Hugh Jackman - The Son

    32 21.05%
  • Gabriel LaBelle - The Fabelmans

    8 5.26%
  • Paul Mescal - Aftersun

    19 12.50%
  • Bill Nighy - Living

    113 74.34%
  • Jeremy Pope - The Inspection

    5 3.29%
  • Will Smith - Emancipation

    11 7.24%
  • Song Kang-ho - Broker

    6 3.95%
  • Other (Write-in your predictions)

    5 3.29%
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Thread: Best Actor in a Leading Role. October II 2022

  1. #181
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    Variety updated predictions on Gold Derby have neither Fraser or Butler. What are they smoking? I feel like I’m taking crazy pills!

  2. #182
    Senior Member nolanptafan's Avatar
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    If Parasite and Drive My Car couldn't get acting nominations, there is no way Decision To Leave will. Even with the other above the line nominations like Picture and Director it could easily get into.

  3. #183
    Heartless Vulture Kostas's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cjay View Post
    Variety updated predictions on Gold Derby have neither Fraser or Butler. What are they smoking? I feel like I’m taking crazy pills!
    Well you know who's on Variety
    2022 World Cup Golden Rush here


    DEADLINE FOR THE FOURTH AND FINAL ROUND: TUESDAY 13 DECEMBER 09:59 AM PT / 13:59 AM ET

  4. #184
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kostas View Post
    Well you know who's on Variety
    Who?

  5. #185
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    Quote Originally Posted by nolanptafan View Post
    If Parasite and Drive My Car couldn't get acting nominations, there is no way Decision To Leave will. Even with the other above the line nominations like Picture and Director it could easily get into.
    Yup.

    Blunt Force

  6. #186
    Heartless Vulture Kostas's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cjay View Post
    Who?
    Clayton Davis
    2022 World Cup Golden Rush here


    DEADLINE FOR THE FOURTH AND FINAL ROUND: TUESDAY 13 DECEMBER 09:59 AM PT / 13:59 AM ET

  7. #187
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kostas View Post
    Clayton Davis
    Oh yeah, that’s right. He had both of them on his last predictions. Not sure what changed in his mind lol. Probably will just stay off Gold Derby predictions for my own sanity from now on.

  8. #188
    Senior Member electric_storm's Avatar
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    If neither Fraser nor Butler are getting nominated who the hell is?

  9. #189
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cjay View Post
    Oh yeah, that’s right. He had both of them on his last predictions. Not sure what changed in his mind lol. Probably will just stay off Gold Derby predictions for my own sanity from now on.
    Clayton is still predicting them both. It’s Tim Gray from Variety that has Adam Sandler and Gabriel Labelle instead.

  10. #190
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    Quote Originally Posted by babz View Post
    Clayton is still predicting them both. It’s Tim Gray from Variety that has Adam Sandler and Gabriel Labelle instead.
    Gabriel Labelle is fantastic in The Fabelmans. I can see him making it in, though not at the expense of Fraser or Butler. I think those 2 are solidly in, along with Farrell. The last 2 spots are wide open: Cruise, Nighy, Labelle, Hanks, Smith, Calva, Cacho, Pope, Mescal.

    Something keeps telling me (since seeing it back in April) that Cruise is in. It just feels "right" to include him this year. Big year for him: turned 60, got super rare Honorary Palme d'Or (?!?!), biggest blockbuster of his career, etc. It feels like the stars are aligned for him to be that "non-first time" nominee. I can't see the dying Oscars go for Ham Hackman in a film nobody seems to give a shit about. There's gotta be a past nominee in here - and if it's between Cruise, Hanks (film looks very ordinary), or Smith (I don't think people are ready to "forgive" him just yet)...
    Last edited by smoreo; 10-22-2022 at 01:58 AM.

  11. #191
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    We all should take more into consideration Ricardo Darín for Argentina 1985 and Paul Mescal for Aftersun.
    Amazing work both of them.

  12. #192
    Señor Member smoreo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Invikto View Post
    We all should take more into consideration Ricardo Darín for Argentina 1985 and Paul Mescal for Aftersun.
    Amazing work both of them.
    I've always liked Ricardo Darín. I know Argentina 1985 is getting great notices too (I look forward to seeing it), so who knows! Best Actor in a Leading Role is all over the place this year.

  13. #193
    Senior Member Nora's Avatar
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    I mean this is an empty category, so why it's impossible to have actors from foreign movies...
    Especially if it's a one that might get to BP and BD!!!
    Parasite suffered a competitive category here, and so did DMC...
    We have only Butler and Fraser (who are also weak) here this season and the rest are not a sure thing.
    No offense, but the poll still have Song Kang-ho from the movie that vanished every where and Park Hae-il from the movie that was recieved better, was picked for the Oscars and all over the place is not there is kinda laughable...
    And I'm not even asking to remove Song Kang-ho, but make it make sense
    Last edited by Nora; 10-22-2022 at 06:03 AM.


  14. #194
    Senior Member Solarie's Avatar
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    Oscar morning couldn’t come any faster, but I’m hoping and expecting something absolutely crazy for that last slot.

  15. #195
    Senior Member Cesky's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nolanptafan View Post
    If Parasite and Drive My Car couldn't get acting nominations, there is no way Decision To Leave will. Even with the other above the line nominations like Picture and Director it could easily get into.
    I wouldn't predict it yet, but the Academy is changing every year with non-US representation being one of the biggest drivers.
    #unapologeticbitch #campevent #letuseatcake

  16. #196
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cesky View Post
    I wouldn't predict it yet, but the Academy is changing every year with non-US representation being one of the biggest drivers.
    Although this category is still adamant to go as many foreign language performances as the female does, and usually the actors nominated are famous enough in the arthouse cinema or had considerable resume in Hollywood (Mastroianni, Giannini, Depardieu, Von Sydow, Bardem, Banderas). It's harder for an unknown foreign language performance by a male actor just to keep his name in contention.
    2022 World Cup Golden Rush here


    DEADLINE FOR THE FOURTH AND FINAL ROUND: TUESDAY 13 DECEMBER 09:59 AM PT / 13:59 AM ET

  17. #197
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    When is The Whale trailer coming? Geez.

  18. #198
    Senior Member Nora's Avatar
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    Brendan Fraser - The Whale (Winner)
    Austin Butler - Elvis
    Park Hae-il - Decision to Leave
    Tom Hanks - A Man Called Otto
    Will Smith - Emancipation

    Adam Driver - White Noise
    Bill Nighy - Living
    Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin


  19. #199
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nora View Post
    Brendan Fraser - The Whale (Winner)
    Austin Butler - Elvis
    Park Hae-il - Decision to Leave
    Tom Hanks - A Man Called Otto
    Will Smith - Emancipation

    Adam Driver - White Noise
    Bill Nighy - Living
    Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
    Well this would be interesting…

  20. #200
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    Ugh part of me does wonder if they're ACTUALLY going to nominate Will Smith again...


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