Variety updated predictions on Gold Derby have neither Fraser or Butler. What are they smoking? I feel like I’m taking crazy pills!
Austin Butler - Elvis
Diego Calva - Babylon
Timothée Chalamet - Bones & All
Tom Cruise - Top Gun: Maverick
Ricardo Darin - Argentina, 1985
Adam Driver - White Noise
Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser - The Whale
Daniel Gimenez Cacho - Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Tom Hanks - A Man Called Otto
Hugh Jackman - The Son
Gabriel LaBelle - The Fabelmans
Paul Mescal - Aftersun
Bill Nighy - Living
Jeremy Pope - The Inspection
Will Smith - Emancipation
Song Kang-ho - Broker
Other (Write-in your predictions)
Variety updated predictions on Gold Derby have neither Fraser or Butler. What are they smoking? I feel like I’m taking crazy pills!
If Parasite and Drive My Car couldn't get acting nominations, there is no way Decision To Leave will. Even with the other above the line nominations like Picture and Director it could easily get into.
Well you know who's on VarietyOriginally Posted by Cjay
2022 World Cup Golden Rush here
DEADLINE FOR THE FOURTH AND FINAL ROUND: TUESDAY 13 DECEMBER 09:59 AM PT / 13:59 AM ET
Who?
Yup.
Blunt Force
Clayton Davis
2022 World Cup Golden Rush here
DEADLINE FOR THE FOURTH AND FINAL ROUND: TUESDAY 13 DECEMBER 09:59 AM PT / 13:59 AM ET
Oh yeah, that’s right. He had both of them on his last predictions. Not sure what changed in his mind lol. Probably will just stay off Gold Derby predictions for my own sanity from now on.
If neither Fraser nor Butler are getting nominated who the hell is?
Clayton is still predicting them both. It’s Tim Gray from Variety that has Adam Sandler and Gabriel Labelle instead.
Gabriel Labelle is fantastic in The Fabelmans. I can see him making it in, though not at the expense of Fraser or Butler. I think those 2 are solidly in, along with Farrell. The last 2 spots are wide open: Cruise, Nighy, Labelle, Hanks, Smith, Calva, Cacho, Pope, Mescal.
Something keeps telling me (since seeing it back in April) that Cruise is in. It just feels "right" to include him this year. Big year for him: turned 60, got super rare Honorary Palme d'Or (?!?!), biggest blockbuster of his career, etc. It feels like the stars are aligned for him to be that "non-first time" nominee. I can't see the dying Oscars go for Ham Hackman in a film nobody seems to give a shit about. There's gotta be a past nominee in here - and if it's between Cruise, Hanks (film looks very ordinary), or Smith (I don't think people are ready to "forgive" him just yet)...
Last edited by smoreo; 10-22-2022 at 01:58 AM.
We all should take more into consideration Ricardo Darín for Argentina 1985 and Paul Mescal for Aftersun.
Amazing work both of them.
I've always liked Ricardo Darín. I know Argentina 1985 is getting great notices too (I look forward to seeing it), so who knows! Best Actor in a Leading Role is all over the place this year.
I mean this is an empty category, so why it's impossible to have actors from foreign movies...
Especially if it's a one that might get to BP and BD!!!
Parasite suffered a competitive category here, and so did DMC...
We have only Butler and Fraser (who are also weak) here this season and the rest are not a sure thing.
No offense, but the poll still have Song Kang-ho from the movie that vanished every where and Park Hae-il from the movie that was recieved better, was picked for the Oscars and all over the place is not there is kinda laughable...
And I'm not even asking to remove Song Kang-ho, but make it make sense
Last edited by Nora; 10-22-2022 at 06:03 AM.
Oscar morning couldn’t come any faster, but I’m hoping and expecting something absolutely crazy for that last slot.
I wouldn't predict it yet, but the Academy is changing every year with non-US representation being one of the biggest drivers.
#unapologeticbitch #campevent #letuseatcake
Although this category is still adamant to go as many foreign language performances as the female does, and usually the actors nominated are famous enough in the arthouse cinema or had considerable resume in Hollywood (Mastroianni, Giannini, Depardieu, Von Sydow, Bardem, Banderas). It's harder for an unknown foreign language performance by a male actor just to keep his name in contention.
2022 World Cup Golden Rush here
DEADLINE FOR THE FOURTH AND FINAL ROUND: TUESDAY 13 DECEMBER 09:59 AM PT / 13:59 AM ET
When is The Whale trailer coming? Geez.
Brendan Fraser - The Whale (Winner)
Austin Butler - Elvis
Park Hae-il - Decision to Leave
Tom Hanks - A Man Called Otto
Will Smith - Emancipation
Adam Driver - White Noise
Bill Nighy - Living
Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
Well this would be interesting…
Ugh part of me does wonder if they're ACTUALLY going to nominate Will Smith again...
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