Best Actress in a Leading Role. September II 2022

[GeorgeEastman]

If anyone is starting to feel some exhaustion about the discussions, I’ve some good news! It’s only 175 days left til the Oscars

[variousstorms]

If anyone beats Blanchett it's Deadwyler but that's a conversation y'all aren't ready for

iwouldliketoseeit.gif

[MaeBee]

I mean, you just gave an example of what theredboy was talking about here:



By the way, great post, theredboy.

My example was to prove that they do give it to the best performer, even when public opinion said Chadwick should win. Do you have an example of when it did happen?

[Roberto]

If anyone beats Blanchett it's Deadwyler but that's a conversation y'all aren't ready for

It’s a possibility. She has the role and, seemingly, the performance.

[MaeBee]

lmfaooooo. Since when the Oscars are about the best performance/movie? You must be new here lol.

Usually by the Oscar we know who the winners are. So, it's not the Oscar not picking the best.

[MaeBee]

If anyone beats Blanchett it's Deadwyler but that's a conversation y'all aren't ready for

We'll have to wait to see until the movies is released.

[EOLB]

My example was to prove that they do give it to the best performer, even when public opinion said Chadwick should win. Do you have an example of when it did happen?

I mean, Olivia Colman winning over Glenn Close fits that bill too, but I really can't believe you aren't tired of seeing the best performances lose most times.

[CassIAm]

Till starts to screen for press in NY next week

[Jali]

I want Hollywood to give Hong Chau her TAR vehicle. Her winning a Lead Oscar would be the greatest thing and you know her speech would be incredible.

She can still win supporting. I am not that sold on Michelle Williams, it's going to be rare to see her winning supporting after 5 nominations. Usually an actress with that many nominations wins lead, I believe Vanessa Redgrave is the only exception.

[Solarie]

She can still win supporting. I am not that sold on Michelle Williams, it's going to be rare to see her winning supporting after 5 nominations. Usually an actress with that many nominations wins lead, I believe Vanessa Redgrave is the only exception.

Are we really using this kind of thinking like it’s still the academy and mindset of the 70s?

Jessica Chastain was supposed to lose because actresses don’t win after years of being shut down or third nominations etc.

At the end of the day an Oscar is an Oscar and they won’t be using the fact that she’s been nominated plenty times before against her. Let’s be real, lmao.

[Bondsocial]

If anyone beats Blanchett it's Deadwyler but that's a conversation y'all aren't ready for

I can see a path for Yeoh.

GG ceremony - Jan, 10
GG-C/M - Yeoh or Robbie, after Day and Zegler, they seems to love to award POC actors, So I say Yeoh now.

GG-D - Blanchett or someone
————
CC ceremony - Jan, 15
BFCA - Pundits maybe reward Yeoh.
————
BAFTA ceremony - Feb, 19
BAFTA - They can go with frontrunner at the moment like they go with Smith last year.

SAG ceremony - Feb, 28
I can see Yeoh take both of actress & ensemble.

But right now, I still can see Blanchett, Robbie & Deadwyler win too.

So waiting for televised ceremony.

[GeorgeEastman]

BAFTA before SAG? That's refreshing. When was the last time that happened?

[electric_storm]

BAFTA before SAG? That's refreshing. When was the last time that happened?

From memory it was the case pre-2005 for a few years. I definitely remember the year Kidman was up for The Hours she had Drama Globe and BAFTA wins already and it was a big surprise when Zellweger stole SAG.

[alittle003]

I can see a path for Yeoh.

GG ceremony - Jan, 10
GG-C/M - Yeoh or Robbie, after Day and Zegler, they seems to love to award POC actors, So I say Yeoh now.

GG-D - Blanchett or someone
————
CC ceremony - Jan, 15
BFCA - Pundits maybe reward Yeoh.
————
BAFTA ceremony - Feb, 19
BAFTA - They can go with frontrunner at the moment like they go with Smith last year.

SAG ceremony - Feb, 28
I can see Yeoh take both of actress & ensemble.

But right now, I still can see Blanchett, Robbie & Deadwyler win too.

So waiting for televised ceremony.

I see this so clearly and I’m surprised others can’t.

[klariso]

From memory it was the case pre-2005 for a few years. I definitely remember the year Kidman was up for The Hours she had Drama Globe and BAFTA wins already and it was a big surprise when Zellweger stole SAG.

That was such a refreshing year for acting winners that no one made a clean sweep.

Brody only had the Oscar (Gere and Nicholson had the Globe, DDL had SAG/BAFTA)
Kidman had Globe and BAFTA but lost SAG to Zellweger
Cooper only has the Globe losing both SAG and BAFTA to Christopher Walken
CZJ had SAG and BAFTA losing Globe to Zellweger since she was placed in Lead

Kinda funny Zellweger both stopped the sweeps of Kidman and Zeta Jones among the major televised ones

[Daenys]

1. Cate Blanchett, TÁR
2. Michelle Yeoh, EEAAO
3. Olivia Colman, Empire of Light
4. Ana de Armas, Blonde
5. Naomi Ackie, I Wanna Dance With Somebody

[CitizenKian]

If anyone beats Blanchett it's Deadwyler but that's a conversation y'all aren't ready for

[JeepCSC]

Deadwyler makes a lot of sense.

[Nora]

Tang Wei - Decision to Leave (Winner)
Naomie Ackie - I Wanna Dance with Somebody
Olivia Colman - Empire of Light
Cate Blanchett - TAR
Margot Robbie - Babylon

Ana de Armas - Blonde
Jessica Chastain - The Good Nurse
Danielle Deadwyler - Till
Jennifer Lawrence - Causeway

[EOLB]

Imagine what Nora has been thinking of all this win talk these last few months when Michelle Yeoh is still outside the top 33.