Ben Aldridge - Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies
Vincenzo Amato - L'Immensita
Lior Ashkenazi - Golda
Matthew Broderick - She Came to Me
Daniel Bruhl - All Quiet on the Western Front
Diego Calva - Babylon
Timothée Chalamet - Bones & All
Don Cheadle - White Noise
Russell Crowe - The Greatest Beer Run Ever
Willem Dafoe - Dead for a Dollar
Paul Dano - The Fabelmans
Paul Dano - The Spaceman of Bohemia
David Dawson - My Policeman
Robert De Niro - Amsterdam
Robert De Niro - Killers of the Flower Moon
Matthew Duckett - Lady Chatterley's Lover
Robert Duvall - The Pale Blue Eye
Ralph Fiennes - The Menu
Colin Firth - Empire of Light
Ben Foster - Emancipation
Brendan Gleeson - The Bashee of Inisherin
Tom Hanks - Elvis
Woody Harrelson - Triangle of Sadness
Ethan Hawke - Raymond & Ray
Bryan Tyree Henry - Causeway
Rami Heuberger - Golda
Ciaran Hinds - The Wonder
Judd Hirsch - The Fabelmans
Anthony Hopkins - Armageddon Time
Anthony Hopkins - The Son
Bill Irwin - Rustin
Barry Keoghan - The Banshee of Inisherin
Harry Lloyd - The Lost King
David Lynch - The Fabelmans
Zen McGrath - The Son
Ewan McGregor - Raymond & Ray
Harry Melling - The Pale Blue Eye
Jack O'Connell - Lady Chatterley's Lover
Brad Pitt - Babylon
Jesse Plemons - Killers of the Flower Moon
Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Tahar Rahim - Napoleon
Tahar Rahim - She Came to Me
Seth Rogen - The Fabelmans
Thomas Sadowski - Fair Fight
Ashton Sanders - I Wanna Dance with Somebody
Matthias Schweighöfer - The Swimmers
Harry Styles - Don't Worry Darling
Ali Suliman - The Swimmers
Stanley Tucci - I Wanna Dance with Somebody
Glynn Turman - Rustin
John David Washington - Amsterdam
Ben Whishaw - Women Talking
Other (Write-in your prediction)
Tenoch Huerta - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Because I copied and pasted the wrong set of predictions from my document after waking up at 4AM. I can't believe I didn't realise
My actual predictions are:
1. Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)
2. Brad Pitt (Babylon)
3. Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
4. Zen McGrath (The Son)
5. Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Wash your hands, please.
Amazon has amazing records in this category with
- Hedges got in for Manchester by the Sea (2016 with Roadside).
- Chalamet almost got in at the Oscar with SAG nod, BAFTA nod, GG nod & BFCA nod for Beautiful Boy (2018).
- Raci got in for Sound of Metal (2020).
- Odom Jr. got in for One Night in Miami... (2020).
- Simmons got in for Being the Ricardos (2021) with only BFCA nod.
- Affleck almost got his first nod for The Tender Bar (2021) with SAG nod & GG nod.
If they do campaign for Women Talking with MGM, that maybe increase the chance for Ben Whishaw to get in.
PAUL DANO “The Fabelmans”
BRENDEN GLEESON “The Banshees of Inisherin”
JUDD HIRSCH “The Fabelmans”
ZEN MCGRATH “The Son”
KE HUY QUAN “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Frontrunners
Paul Dano (“The Batman”)
Woody Harrelson (“Triangle of Sadness”)
Anthony Hopkins (“Armageddon Time”)
Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)
Jeremy Strong (“Armageddon Time”)
https://www.indiewire.com/2022/08/20...ns-1234749446/
I feel like Tom Hanks is going to get a surprise Globe nom for Elvis and give everyone a scare.
Key Huy Quan won't be winning this. It's just bored talk while we wait for the real contenders to arrive. He doesn't have a winning performance and frankly a silly film like this won't be winning any acting awards.
Supporting Legend Mara since 2009
Supporting King Chalamét since 2017
Supporting Queen Russell since 2019
Woody Harrelson - Triangle of Sadness (Winner)
Robert Duvall - The Pale Blue Eye
Tom Hanks - Elvis
Judd Hirsch - The Fabelmans
Brad Pitt - Babylon
Adrien Brody .- Blonde
Russell Crowe - The Greatest Beer Run Ever
Paul Dano - The Fabelmans
Ralph Fiennes - The Menu
Zen McGrath - The Son
I think a lot of people are just having a hard time seeing an unknown 20 year old win or Brad Pitt winning a second supporting actor Oscar in four years which is fair. And its difficult for me to imagine anybody but those 3 winning atp.
Why aren’t more people considering Paul Dano or Seth Rogen? Are the roles not good enough? I don’t think we should really write off anybody for the win at this stage. This category is never usually that clear cut.
I know people tends to find difficult to see Zen McGrath winning because he's 20 years old. But if the role is properly adapted like the play, it will a formidable contender, especially if The Son delivers. It's Timothy Hutton's "Ordinary People" on steroids on paper. And in recent years more younger actors start to be competitive in this category, even as newcomers.
Sometimes, this kind of opportunity is present on the conditions of the year.
2022 World Cup Golden Rush here
DEADLINE FOR THE FOURTH AND FINAL ROUND: TUESDAY 13 DECEMBER 09:59 AM PT / 13:59 AM ET
The age is not the issue for me... I already put Sink in my top 5 in the sup actress category. But it could be that I admire her performance after seeing couple of them. I didn't see any work of McGrath, and his performance in The Son could prove me wrong![]()