SAG 2023 predictions

[Matt24]

Ensemble:
Babylon
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Killers of the Flower Moon
Women Talking

Alt: She Said

Actor:
Austin Butler, Elvis
Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Hugh Jackman, The Son

Alt: Diego Calva, Babylon

Actress:
Naomi Ackie, I Wanna Dance With Somebody
Regina King, Shirley
Carey Mulligan, She Said
Margot Robbie, Babylon
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once

Alt: Cate Blanchett, TAR

Supporting Actor:
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Brad Pitt, Babylon
Jesse Plemons, Killers of the Flower Moon

Alt: Zen McGrath, The Son

Supporting Actress:
Jessie Buckley, Women Talking
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sadie Sink, The Whale
Jean Smart, Babylon
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

Alt: Laura Dern, The Son

[Hoster1]

Cast in a Motion Picture:
Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
The Fabelmans (Universal)
Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple TV+)
Rustin (Netflix)
The Son (SPC)

Male Actor in a Leading Role:
Austin Butler - Elvis
Leonardo DiCaprio - Killers of the Flower Moon
Colman Domingo - Rustin
Brendan Fraser - The Whale
Hugh Jackman - The Son

Female Actor in a Leading Role:
Naomi Ackie - I Wanna Dance with Somebody
Cate Blanchett - TAR
Regina King - Shirley
Margot Robbie - Babylon
Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All at Once

Male Actor in a Supporting Role:
Paul Dano - The Fabelmans
Robert De Niro - Killers of the Flower Moon
Zen McGrath - The Son
Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Seth Rogen - The Fabelmans

Female Actor in a Supporting Role:
Laura Dern - The Son
Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon
Whoopi Goldberg - Till
Audra McDonald - Rustin
Michelle Williams - The Fabelmans

[Instant]

Ensemble:
Babylon
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Killing of the Flowe Moon
She Said

Alt: The Son

Actor:
Austin Butler, Elvis
Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Hugh Jackman, The Son

Alt: Diego Calva, Babylon

Actress:
Naomi Ackie, I Wanna Dance With Somebody
Cate Blanchett, TAR
Carey Mulligan, She Said
Margot Robbie, Babylon
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once

Alt: Olivia Colman, Empire of Light

Supporting Actor:
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Brad Pitt, Babylon
Jesse Plemons, Killers of the Flower Moon

Alt: Zen McGrath, The Son

Supporting Actress:
Laura Dern, The Son
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sadie Sink, The Whale
Jean Smart, Babylon
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

Alt: Jessey Buckley, Women Talking

[GeorgeEastman]

Have a film ever gotten 4 acting noms without ensemble…?

[with_one_voice]

Have a film ever gotten 4 acting noms without ensemble…?

No (excluding the first year when Forest Gump got four acting nods, but no ensemble category existed yet)

[klariso]

Have a film ever gotten 4 acting noms without ensemble…?

Only Forrest Gump because there wasn't any Ensemble category for that year yet. Otherwise, it's 3 max.

[Matt24]

Have a film ever gotten 4 acting noms without ensemble…?

I actually meant to have it in .

[ORANGE'71]

I think Babylon will be snubbed in Ensemble. Late release, potential C- Cinemascore... All Chazelle movies were snubbed.

[GeorgeEastman]

I actually meant to have it in .

SAG should in theory prob be the place where the films plays the worst so not ouragerous per se, but then again The Irishman near maxed out at guilds so seems wise to keep it in for now.

[Bondsocial]

I can see Tom Hanks’s Elvis (2022) will be next Amy Adams’s Hillbilly Elegy (2020) or next Jared Leto’s House of Gucci (2021) for this season at SAG.

[fidelicate]

Ensemble:
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Glass Onion
She Said
Women Talking

I think Babylon will be snubbed.

[Jonathan]

What do we think of Top Gun Maverick's chances here in Cast...and Actor? The latter category is so barren with major names after Butler/Fraser/Jackman that I really don't think it's impossible that he shows up here. And while the movie is mostly a testament to Cruise's star power, it still has a well-stacked ensemble of well-known names and major young up-and-comers (well, is Teller an up-and-comer still? anyway). Just something I've started thinking about.

[GeorgeEastman]

What do we think of Top Gun Maverick's chances here in Cast...and Actor? The latter category is so barren with major names after Butler/Fraser/Jackman that I really don't think it's impossible that he shows up here. And while the movie is mostly a testament to Cruise's star power, it still has a well-stacked ensemble of well-known names and major young up-and-comers (well, is Teller an up-and-comer still? anyway). Just something I've started thinking about.

It's locked for me in ensemble, no chance I'm dropping it. Don't feel Cruise though.

[Matt24]

What do we think of Top Gun Maverick's chances here in Cast...and Actor? The latter category is so barren with major names that I really don't think it's impossible that he shows up here. And while the movie is mostly a testament to Cruise's star power, it still has a well-stacked ensemble of well-known names and major young up-and-comers (well, is Teller an up-and-comer still? anyway). Just something I've started thinking about.

Cruise is definitely in play. After Fraser/Jackman/Butler, it's a lot of small films (Nighy) and/or unknowns (ie Calva) so I'd probably predict him for now. I think any talk of the translating to an Oscar nom, no matter how weak the category is, is simply absurd though.

[GeorgeEastman]

Cruise is definitely in play. After Fraser/Jackman/Butler, it's a lot of small films (Nighy) and/or unknowns (ie Calva) so I'd probably predict him for now. I think any talk of the translating to an Oscar nom, no matter how weak the category is, is simply absurd though.

Ehm just checked and didn't realize how awful actor looks, maybe he's in after all

[Bee]

Not my thread getting took without permission!

[RayB]

What do we think of Top Gun Maverick's chances here in Cast...and Actor? The latter category is so barren with major names after Butler/Fraser/Jackman that I really don't think it's impossible that he shows up here. And while the movie is mostly a testament to Cruise's star power, it still has a well-stacked ensemble of well-known names and major young up-and-comers (well, is Teller an up-and-comer still? anyway). Just something I've started thinking about.

Ugh.

[oneandonly]

Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
The Son
Women Talking
ALT - Babylon

[theredboy]

I feel like nominating The Woman King for Ensemble is something SAG would do.

[variousstorms]

I feel like nominating The Woman King for Ensemble is something SAG would do.

Definitely