2022 Emmys: Who Will Be Nominated? - Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

[DameOctaviaSpencer]

Did people forget that Schnapp should have won for Season 2 of Stranger Things and he didn't even get the nom? The Emmys hate teenagers.

She's 20. Scnapp was like 13.

[J-bravo]

She's 20. Scnapp was like 13.

Also she has more buzz than he did and the Dear Billy episode has way more buzz than any S2 episode showcasing Schnapp.
Haven’t watched some of these other contenders but I can’t believe she doesn’t get nominated.

[ginnala]

Schnapp buzz didn’t exist outside of awards forums

[Wheeljack]

Really only the top 4 I feel confident are safe,definitely think St. Patty and Ricci are vulnerable if their shows underperform.

What is underperforming? Think that Ricci could get in even if Yellowjackets misses series (or writing). She likely misses if the voters decide to vote for only a bunch of shows (and tick 3 or 4 supporting actresses from those shows).

[ldw]

Ho-yeon could’ve won in Lead imo

Not with Zendaya in lead. Zendaya has arguably the most Emmy lock episode in recent time (though personally I would go with Lynskey). However Ho-yeon has an excellent chance winning in supporting.

Agreed that Snook deserves to win, but Garner has had this locked since her big line that became an internet meme.

She is most definitely not a lock. I don't think she would lose to Snook. However I think it is very likely that Ho-yeon is winning this. Ozark diehards are really underestimating the impact that Ho-yeon made on viewers for Squid Game. An absolutely beloved performance by a newcomer in the phenomenon of the year.

Personally I would go with either Youn Yuh-jung or Sophie Rundle. But I think Ho-yeon is winning this one going away.

[Hoster1]

She could've easily won against Zendaya.

[veritas]

Patricia Arquette, Severance
Julia Garner, Ozark
Jung Ho-yeon, Squid Game
Sadie Sink, Stranger Things
J. Smith-Cameron, Succession
Sarah Snook, Succession
Sydney Sweeney, Euphoria
Youn Yuh-jung, Pachinko
—
Christina Ricci, Yellowjackets

[Rosamund]

1 Garner
2 Jung
3 Snook
4 Smith-Cameron
5 Kim
6 Arquette
7 Ricci
8 Shaw

[gabspss]

Seth Meyers is on the #RheaSeehornTrain as well! Marvelous.

https://twitter.com/sethmeyers/statu...13885236678656

[Bee]

Hmmm...yeah I'll settle on Sydney lol

[FalconPunch]

Serious question I've had for a few pages now: why is everyone so adamant on J. Smith Cameron getting in? I mean, I would love a nom for her, but I've been seriously reconsidering her position, after realizing how tough of a category this is.

She didn't have anything big this season, her role has always been a very subdued one, and it gets weirder when pitting her against the competition: Snook is a previous nominee and arguably Succession's main pony here, Garner is a previous winner (and both have big material in their seasons), Sink has the overall media hype on the exact right time, Ricci is playing a colorful psychopath on a dark horse show, Hoyeon's perf won SAG against tough competition, and Arquette is a previous winner on a remarkable role in Apple's main pony. All of them have some respectable level of bait.

Then add to the equation Seehorn with the overdue narrative that's building behind her, Youn who is uber baity on Apple's underdog show, Sweeney who has internet buzz and will be the main push from a show that has had success with the Emmys, MBB who even though feels shakier, is still a previous nominee and had decent material this season.

So, taking all this into account, my question is: aren't we relying too much on this idea of "Voters will default to Succession in a bunch of stuff because it's the frontrunner"? Because, like it or not, this is not a normal year, it's incredibly competitive and in situations like this, it's the passion picks that tend to have a better leg. And I feel like hers doesn't have much, at least not as much as the competition mentioned above, even though I, again, would love to see her nominated.

[Couv]

Holly Hunter failed to get in for Succession last time despite being a much bigger name with much better material than JSC. The latter's near lock status is confounding to me.

[HunterValentine]

Serious question I've had for a few pages now: why is everyone so adamant on J. Smith Cameron getting in? I mean, I would love a nom for her, but I've been seriously reconsidering her position, after realizing how tough of a category this is.

She didn't have anything big this season, her role has always been a very subdued one, and it gets weirder when pitting her against the competition: Snook is a previous nominee and arguably Succession's main pony here, Garner is a previous winner (and both have big material in their seasons), Sink has the overall media hype on the exact right time, Ricci is playing a colorful psychopath on a dark horse show, Hoyeon's perf won SAG against tough competition, and Arquette is a previous winner on a remarkable role in Apple's main pony. All of them have some respectable level of bait.

Then add to the equation Seehorn with the overdue narrative that's building behind her, Youn who is uber baity on Apple's underdog show, Sweeney who has internet buzz and will be the main push from a show that has had success with the Emmys, MBB who even though feels shakier, is still a previous nominee and had decent material this season.

So, taking all this into account, my question is: aren't we relying too much on this idea of "Voters will default to Succession in a bunch of stuff because it's the frontrunner"? Because, like it or not, this is not a normal year, it's incredibly competitive and in situations like this, it's the passion picks that tend to have a better leg. And I feel like hers doesn't have much, at least not as much as the competition mentioned above, even though I, again, would love to see her nominated.

the sneak. how many snubs is it gonna take for this to end?

[mbl]

Holly Hunter failed to get in for Succession last time despite being a much bigger name with much better material than JSC. The latter's near lock status is confounding to me.

But that year was much more competitive. 4 previous winners for the same roles, 1 previous nominee, Sarah Snook in the series winner plus Meryl Streep and Helena Bonham Carter.

I also think she's far from a sure thing, but I feel it is very reasonable to think that she might go along with the Succession love and the unlimited ballot, specially when most times internet buzz doesn't translate into a nomination

[klariso]

I really don't think Succession has broken out in terms of nominations at the Emmys frankly. Usually once a show wins Series, it tends to gain even more acting nominations the year after it won such (Homeland having Patinkin + Baccarin the year after, Game of Thrones having Williams, Coster-Waldau, and Harrington the year after it won, The Handmaid's Tale's ton of supporting actresses in 2018 etc), Succession can still max out further with Alan Ruck, J. Smith-Cameron, and the guest actors. I think it will really do well with nominations. Whether it's deserving or not is a different matter.

[Couv]

But that year was much more competitive. 4 previous winners for the same roles, 1 previous nominee, Sarah Snook in the series winner plus Meryl Streep and Helena Bonham Carter.

4 previous winners but 3 of them were in shows constantly declining and barely holding on for life. I don't think they would necessarily constitute as strong competition. Neither would Shaw for Killing Eve tbh. On paper, Hunter should've gotten in before half of those people. And even if that year was more competitive, Hunter was stronger than JSC on basically every front so there's that. The prediction itself isn't unreasonable (mostly) but I'm just not sure the latter should be so high given everything. There's a limit to how far voters will go checking off everyone just on the strength of the show they are in.

I really don't think Succession has broken out in terms of nominations at the Emmys frankly. Usually once a show wins Series, it tends to gain even more acting nominations the year after it won such (Homeland having Patinkin + Baccarin the year after, Game of Thrones having Williams, Coster-Waldau, and Harrington the year after it won, The Handmaid's Tale's ton of supporting actresses in 2018 etc), Succession can still max out further with Alan Ruck, J. Smith-Cameron, and the guest actors. I think it will really do well with nominations. Whether it's deserving or not is a different matter.

But Succession already got its Patinkins, Harringtons and Strahovskis nominated, all people in very prominent roles. It's not like Ted Lasso is expected to grow or even The Crown next year tbh. All thanks to the current nominating system.

[Jay]

This Smith-Cameron doubt

I see we’re getting to that time where the nominations just need to come out already

[dyedred19]

Smith-Cameron appears to be sixth in the poll currently? I think that sounds about right.

I'm predicting her, but don't feel incredibly confident about her. I assume that's probably how most people feel?

I'm not so sure folks are necessarily "adamant" about her.

[Matt-10]

Final predictions...

Patricia Arquette, Severance
Julia Garner, Ozark
Jung Ho-yeon, Squid Game
Kim Joo-ryoung, Squid Game
Christina Ricci, Yellowjackets
J. Smith-Cameron, Succession
Sarah Snook, Succession
Sydney Sweeney, Euphoria

next in line: Millie Bobby Brown, Stranger Things; Julianna Margulies, The Morning Show; Rhea Seehorn, Better Call Saul; Sadie Sink, Stranger Things; Youn Yuh-jung, Pachinko

[achels6]

Final Predictions
1. Julia Garner, Ozark
2. Sarah Snook, Succession
3. Jung Ho-yeon, Squid Game
4. Patricia Arquette, Severance
5. J. Smith-Cameron, Succession
6. Kim Joo-ryoung, Squid Game
7. Millie Bobby Brown, Stranger Things
8. Christina Ricci, Yellowjackets

The top three are obviously 100% locked, and I feel very confident in Arquette happening, even if Severance underperforms. Smith-Cameron and Joo-ryoung should be able to go along for the ride if Succession and Squid Game are as strong as I suspect, but I wouldn't be shocked to see them miss. Going with MBB next since she's a previous nominee and Stranger Things peaked at the perfect time as nomination voting started. And then Ricci for the final slot since she's campaigning and I think Yellowjackets will be strong.