Best Actor in a Leading Role. May 2022

[JotB]

[JotB]

[alittle003]

Austin Butler seems to be getting very good reviews here. As long as this does decent at the box office and the campaigning keeps up, I think Butler’s making it, however disappointing that may be in the fatigue of biopics. Butler also has a big role in Dune coming up, so that’ll probably keep him in the news, as well.

[Jay]

He’ll be Masters of the Air coming out later this year(?) or early next year which is probably going to be huge too so, yeah, I wouldn’t bet against him.

[mysteryfan04]

Yeah, I can see a nomination happening for Butler. I don't think he'll win though; I know people want to compare this to Bohemian Rhapsody, but that movie was a mega blockbuster and BP nominee that won categories outside of Best Actor as well. I don't think Elvis, even with a better critical reception, will have the same awards success.

[with_one_voice]

I could see Butler gaining traction, SAG especially seems a good bet, but I could envision him as an Oscar snub. I also think the film probably won't factor strongly in the BP race.

[Kostas]

Egerton missed but he faced a stiff competition with many high profile actors in Best Picture contenders and biopics (and probably he ended in 6th). Let's see how the year develops and if Elvis smash at BO.

[JotB]

I could see Butler gaining traction, SAG especially seems a good bet, but I could envision him as an Oscar snub. I also think the film probably won't factor strongly in the BP race.

I think the SAG nom is a near lock, he’s an character that’ll appeal the branch as a whole; getting raves for playing an icon in a potential popular film. Plus WB is the only major studio that consist with awards success.

If JHud could get in for a perfectly fine performance in such a mid film (that flopped at the box office). Butler should have no issue with SAG.

[Eduardo Zuckerberg]

Butler could go either way, I can see him being an Egerton.

[klariso]

His enthusiasm feels to me like a mix of Redmayne and Malek, so I can see him really working the campaign so hard.

[kitkat]

He's going all out so I would probably keep him around #5-6 for now. Will really depend on how strong the year is in this category.

[DameOctaviaSpencer]

Butler
DiCaprio
Domingo
Jackman
+1

[Nora]

I actually liked Butler mostly in the trailers, but the reviews of the movie is stopping me from having hope on him...
I will wait for audience scores, I guess... I dunno if this will have Bohemian Rhapsody's glory!!!

[Jay]

I don’t care for Butler at all but I’d be pretty shocked if he missed. All he needs is for the film to do well at the BO and, I guess, for the competition to not be too strong.

I think this is a different case than Egerton. Rocketman being an actual musical hurts his chances, I think.

[MrFilmkritik]

Butler is gonna be the GG & SAG snub of the year

[EOLB]

I need to wait for the box office results too. I could still see everything falling apart if they're disastrous (imagine if it makes less than 'Everything Everywhere All at Once'), but the industry seems to be quite taken with him (Guillermo del Toro praise today).

[DameOctaviaSpencer]

Butler is gonna be the GG & SAG snub of the year

Both are more likely than the Oscar nomination, even if I predict the later for him!

[MrFilmkritik]

Both are more likely than the Oscar nomination, even if I predict the later for him!

I meant to say he's gonna be nominated for both, and then he gets snubbed for the Oscar

[DameOctaviaSpencer]

I meant to say he's gonna be nominated for both, and then he gets snubbed for the Oscar

Oh I see, that I could imagine!

[camaro451]

I love how Bohemian Rhapsody is now our barometer for musical biopic performances and whether they will get in or not. It's fantastic.