Best Actress in a Leading Role. April 2022

[Kostas]

Speaking of surprises, it's "The Menu" releasing in Nov. 18.

[Cinesnatch]

[/READMORE]

Thanks Cine! Are you predicting a BP nom for EEAAO too like the other movies? Aka A24 pushing and campaigning hard for this?

It’s true A24 has had several successes but all of them were fall/awards season releases: Room (Oct), Moonlight (Oct), Lady Bird (Nov), Minari (Feb—Extended year)

(Sorry I put your post under Read More. I thought it’d be too long to quote and take up space)

Yes. Despite EEA@O’s spring release being a new frontier for A24 award hopes, I think they have gold on their hands and will make the most of it. I feel extremely optimistic. I will predict this for BP, script, editing for the rest of the year. I will predict this for visual effects and Yeoh for now and likely for the rest of the year. I will consider it for other categories as things unfold (sound, supporting players, but I guess not JLC, though I wonder if she can score a globe nod because they love her and the role is “transformational” to some degree, albeit not the ways in which we usually consider it).

Thank you for using the “read more” tag! That was thoughtful.

Also, to others, although I really liked this film, I am not stanning in my predictions. The reception for this movie is unusually strong. I’ve seen this strength before and it’s not going to just disappear because the year is long. It’s a word-of-mouth contender that is being loved on across platforms and demographics. Again, this happens all the time to early release contenders on AW. I’ve listed many in other posts and they’re all different types of films. It’s not just Get Out.

[ewdot2480]

I've got 6 names jumping out at me:

Ackie
Blanchett
Colman
King
Robbie
Yeoh

[veritas]

I've got 7 names jumping out at me:

Ackie
Blanchett
Colman
King
Robbie
Stone
Yeoh

Fixed it for you!

[GeorgeEastman]

I've got 6 names jumping out at me:

Ackie
Blanchett
Colman
King
Robbie
Yeoh

And if Variety category placement tea is right, Gladstone.

[alittle003]

I think Gladstone would go supporting, no?

[Nora]

Naomie Ackie - I Wanna Dance with Somebody
Yalitza Aparicio - Presences
Doona Bae - Broker
Elizabeth Banks - Call Jane
Melissa Barrera - Carmen
Annette Bening - Jerry and Marge Go Large
Annette Bening - Nyad
Juliette Binoche - Paradise Highway
Cate Blanchett - TAR
Gemma Chan - True Love
Jessica Chastain - The Good Nurse
Priyanka Chopra - Text for You
Patricia Clarkson - Fair Fight
Olivia Colman - Empire of Light
Olivia Colman - Joyride
Emma Corrin - Lady Chatterley's Lover
Emma Corrin - My Policeman
Marion Cotillard - Brother and Sister
Marion Cotillard - The Brutalist
Penelope Cruz - L'Immensità
Viola Davis - The Woman King
Danielle Beadwyler - Till
Charlbi Dean - Triangle of Sadness
Ana de Armas - Blonde
Kirsten Dunst - Civil War
Virginie Efira - Revoir Paris
Cynthia Erivo - Wicked
Ekaterina Ermishina - Tchaikovsky's Wife
Greta Gerwig - White Noise
Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon
Ariana Grande - Wicked
Anne Hathaway - Eileen
Sally Hawkins - The Lost King
Manal Issa - The Swinmers
Nathalie Issa - The Swinmers
Judith Ivey - Women Talking
Dakota Johnson - Cha Cha Real Smooth
Dakota Johnson - Persuasion
Angelina Jolie - Every Note Played
Zoe Kazan - She Said
Vanessa Kirby - Napoleon
Regina King - Shirley
Keira Knightley - The Boston Strangler
Jennifer Lawrence - Red, White and Water
Valérie Lemercier - Aline
Lesley Manville - Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
Sheila McCarthy - Women Talking
Helen Mirren - Golda
Carey Mulligan - She Said
Florence Pugh - Don't Worry Darling
Florence Pugh - The Wonder
Margot Robbie - Babylon
Margot Robbie - David O. Russell Film
Saoirse Ronan - Foe
Saoirse Ronan - See How They Run
Taylor Russell - Bones & All
Talia Ryder - Joika
Ally Ryder Foster - Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret
Joanna Scanlan - After Love
Léa Seydoux - Crimes of the Future
Emma Stone - Poor Things
Tilda Swinton - Three Thousand Years of Longing
Tang Wei - Decision to Leave
Anya Taylor-Joy - The Menu
Ana-Maria Vartolomei - Happening
Michelle Williams - Showing Up
Shailene Woodley - Misanthrope
Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Elsa Zylberstein - Simone Veil: A Woman of the Century

[with_one_voice]

I've got 6 names jumping out at me:

Ackie
Blanchett
Colman
King
Robbie
Yeoh

These are my top six, as well. I’d have Robbie the strongest, followed by Yeoh. If I had to take someone out to whittle it down to five, I’d remove Colman. She’s on a hot streak, but the other three are playing famous women in biopics, we don’t know much about the Empire plot other than that it’s a love story, and I believe the film is still in production while the others are already in post.

[EOLB]

These are my top six, as well. I’d have Robbie the strongest, followed by Yeoh. If I had to take someone out to whittle it down to five, I’d remove Colman. She’s on a hot streak, but the other three are playing famous women in biopics, we don’t know much about the Empire plot other than that it’s a love story, and I believe the film is still in production while the others are already in post.

It looks like it's a film about cinema too. I think it will probably be her biggest across the board contender since 'The Favourite'.

[CassIAm]

These are my top six, as well. I’d have Robbie the strongest, followed by Yeoh. If I had to take someone out to whittle it down to five, I’d remove Colman. She’s on a hot streak, but the other three are playing famous women in biopics, we don’t know much about the Empire plot other than that it’s a love story, and I believe the film is still in production while the others are already in post.

Shirley Chisholm and Whitney Houston yes but Lydia Tár is a fictional character. Unless you mean someone else.

[with_one_voice]

Shirley Chisholm and Whitney Houston yes but Lydia Tár is a fictional character. Unless you mean someone else.

Thank you for the correction!

[Montreel]

Colman is taking over Meh as the Token Always Gets Nominated Actress but to be fair her performances are much stronger and varied than recent Streep's ones so I am not against it at all.

[musterd]

It looks like it's a film about cinema too. I think it will probably be her biggest across the board contender since 'The Favourite'.

Also not sure what other contender would be the British Contender of the year. Searchlight will amp up the Mendes x Sir Deakins x Colman collab (and x Firth who has The Staircase that may break out in a big way). She has the elements but of course plenty of question marks around Mendes’ first script.

[DameOctaviaSpencer]

Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All at Once

This doesn't make any sense.

[Madealah]

I don't buy Yeoh until the critics push her.

Everyone was predicting Toni Collette in Hereditary, too (A24)

Emma Stone's role seems like it could be really physical. Watch out for her, I guess.

Naomi Ackie could explode or implode. That could go either way. Still, at the top of any list.

Also, Eileen is a great novel but Anne Hathaway is playing a supporting character who doesn't come in until the last act.

[mysteryfan04]

Stop with the Hereditary comparisons.

If Eileen becomes a thing and gets a great distributor, then it'll be Thomasin McKenzie who gets the lead push, and Hathaway will go supporting.

[veritas]

Comparing Michelle Yeoh in the massively crowd-pleasing little indie that could, post-theatre shutdown, to Toni Collette in a gruesome Ari Aster horror film is ludicrous. They have nothing in common but a distributor.

[Nora]

OMG!!! 33 contenders...

Naomie Ackie - I Wanna Dance with Somebody
Doona Bae - Broker
Annette Bening - Jerry and Marge Go Large/ Nyad-
Juliette Binoche - Paradise Highway
Cate Blanchett - TAR
Jessica Chastain - The Good Nurse
Patricia Clarkson - Fair Fight
Olivia Colman - Empire of Light/ Joyride
Marion Cotillard - Brother and Sister/ The Brutalist
Penelope Cruz - L'Immensità
Viola Davis - The Woman King
Danielle Beadwyler - Till
Charlbi Dean - Triangle of Sadness
Kirsten Dunst - Civil War
Cynthia Erivo - Wicked
Sally Hawkins - The Lost King
Judith Ivey - Women Talking
Vanessa Kirby - Napoleon
Regina King - Shirley
Jennifer Lawrence - Red, White and Water
Lesley Manville - Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
Helen Mirren - Golda
Carey Mulligan - She Said
Florence Pugh - Don't Worry Darling/ The Wonder
Margot Robbie - Babylon/ David O. Russell Film
Saoirse Ronan - Foe/ See How They Run
Taylor Russell - Bones & All
Joanna Scanlan - After Love
Emma Stone - Poor Things
Tilda Swinton - Three Thousand Years of Longing
Tang Wei - Decision to Leave
Anya Taylor-Joy - The Menu
Michelle Williams - Showing Up

[GodneySpears]

No matter what happens in the end, Yeoh will remain in the conversation for the rest of the year, so it is silly to count her out completely.

[Nora]

Yeoh will remain out until proven the opposite.
Deal with it.
It's still April and people are certain of things... and I'm having a problem ruling out most of the actors in my final list!!!